Dr. Francis Boyle joins The Alex Jones Show to break down how the American people are sleep-walking into WW3.
Wikipedia: Herman Kahn (February 15, 1922 – July 7, 1983) was a founder of the Hudson Institute and one of the preeminent futurists of the latter part of the twentieth century. He originally came to prominence as a military strategist and systems theorist while employed at the RAND Corporation. He became known for analyzing the likely consequences of nuclear war and recommending ways to improve survivability, making him one of the historical inspirations for the title character of Stanley Kubrick‘s classic black comedy film satire Dr. Strangelove. In his commentary for Fail Safe, director Sidney Lumet remarked that the Professor Groeteschele character is also based on Herman Kahn. Kahn’s theories contributed heavily to the development of the nuclear strategy of the United States.
Kahn was born in Bayonne, New Jersey, the son of Yetta (née Koslowsky) and Abraham Kahn, a tailor. His parents were Jewish immigrants from Eastern Europe. He was raised in the Bronx, then in Los Angeles following his parents’ divorce. Raised Jewish, he later became an atheist.
Cold War theories
Kahn’s major contributions were the several strategies he developed during the Cold War to contemplate “the unthinkable” – namely, nuclear warfare – by using applications of game theory. Kahn is often cited (with Pierre Wack) as a father of scenario planning.
Kahn argued for deterrence and believed that if the Soviet Union believed that the United States had a second strike capability then it would offer greater deterrence, which he wrote in his paper titled “The Nature and Feasibility of War and Deterrence”.
The bases of his work were systems theory and game theory as applied to economics and military strategy. Kahn argued that for deterrence to succeed, the Soviet Union had to be convinced that the United States had second-strike capability in order to leave the Politburo in no doubt that even a perfectly coordinated massive attack would guarantee a measure of retaliation that would leave them devastated as well:
At the minimum, an adequate deterrent for the United States must provide an objective basis for a Soviet calculation that would persuade them that, no matter how skillful or ingenious they were, an attack on the United States would lead to a very high risk if not certainty of large-scale destruction to Soviet civil society and military forces.
In 1962, Kahn published a 16-step escalation ladder. By 1965 he had developed this into a 44-step ladder.
- Ostensible Crisis
- Political, Economic and Diplomatic Gestures
- Solemn and Formal Declarations
- Hardening of Positions – Confrontation of Wills
- Show of Force
- Significant Mobilization
- “Legal” Harassment – Retortions
- Harassing Acts of Violence
- Dramatic Military Confrontations
- Provocative Breaking off of Diplomatic Relations
- Super-Ready Status
- Large Conventional War (or Actions)
- Large Compound Escalation
- Declaration of Limited Conventional War
- Barely Nuclear War
- Nuclear “Ultimatums”
- Limited Evacuations (20%)
- Spectacular Show or Demonstration of Force
- “Justifiable” Counterforce Attack
- “Peaceful” World-Wide Embargo or Blockade
- Local Nuclear War – Exemplary
- Declaration of Limited Nuclear War
- Local Nuclear War – Military
- Unusual, Provocative and Significant Countermeasures
- Evacuation (70%)
- Demonstration Attack on Zone of Interior
- Exemplary Attack on Military
- Exemplary Attacks Against Property
- Exemplary Attacks on Population
- Complete Evacuation (95%)
- Reciprocal Reprisals
- Formal Declaration of “General” War
- Slow-Motion Counter-“Property” War
- Slow-Motion Counterforce War
- Constrained Force-Reduction Salvo
- Constrained Disarming Attack
- Counterforce-with-Avoidance Attack
- Unmodified Counterforce Attack
- Slow-Motion Countercity war
- Countervalue Salvo
- Augmented Disarming Attack
- Civilian Devastation Attack
- Controlled General War
- Spasm/Insensate War
In 1961, Kahn, Max Singer and Oscar Ruebhausen founded the Hudson Institute, a think tank initially located in Croton-on-Hudson, New York, where Kahn was living at the time. He recruited sociologist Daniel Bell, political philosopher Raymond Aron and novelist Ralph Ellison (author of the 1952 classic Invisible Man).